Auxerre vs Metz Betting Analysis
As we approach the match between Auxerre and Metz, several critical factors come into play. Both teams have shown fluctuating performances this season, with Auxerre struggling in their recent outings and Metz showing sporadic bursts of form. Historically, matches between these two have been tightly contested, often resulting in low-scoring games. Key players to watch include Auxerre’s forward line, which has been underperforming, and Metz’s defense, which has shown vulnerabilities but also resilience in critical moments. The match is set to take place on December 7th at 16:15.
Auxerre
Metz
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 84.50% | (3-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 78.90% | (3-1) 2-1 1H 1.18 | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 68.90% | (3-1) 2-1 1H 1.40 | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 68.30% | (3-1) 3 cards 1.25 | |
| Away Team To Score In 2nd Half | 70.20% | (3-1) | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63.50% | (3-1) 1.31 | |
| Last Goal 73+ Minutes | 55.20% | (3-1) 89' min 1.83 | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 54.80% | (3-1) 2.00 | |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58.10% | (3-1) 1.95 | |
| Home Team To Win | 54.50% | (3-1) 2.00 | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 59.00% | (3-1) 1-0 2H 1.33 | |
| Goal In Last 15 Minutes | 55.00% | (3-1) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 57.80% | (3-1) | |
| Goal In Last 10 Minutes | 55.50% | (3-1) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 58.30% | (3-1) | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 3.77% | (3-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 3.25% | (3-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 2.85% | (3-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 1.03% | (3-1) | |
| Red Cards | 1.51% | (3-1) |
The current form of both teams suggests a cautious approach from the betting markets. Auxerre‘s recent inability to score in the first half (Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half: 83.50) reflects their offensive struggles, while Metz‘s defensive issues could lead to goals being scored throughout the game (Over 0.5 Goals HT: 73.40). Additionally, both teams’ propensity for accumulating cards (Under 5.5 Cards: 68.90) indicates a potentially contentious match.
Match Result Analysis
Home Team Win
The odds for Auxerre winning stand at 59.50, reflecting their home advantage but also acknowledging their inconsistent performance away from home. Despite being the favorites at home, their lack of recent victories makes this a risky bet unless they can capitalize on Metz’s defensive weaknesses.
Away Team Win
Metz is priced competitively for an away win due to their ability to exploit gaps in weaker defenses. However, given their own defensive frailties and reliance on counter-attacks, this remains a less likely outcome unless Auxerre fails to control the midfield effectively.
Draw
The draw is a viable option considering both teams’ defensive strategies and historical encounters that often result in low-scoring ties. The odds for both teams not scoring in either half further support this possibility (Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 78.10; Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 57.20).
Goals Market Assessment
Total Goals Over/Under
The average total goals expected is around 3.37, suggesting a moderately high-scoring game despite both teams’ defensive tendencies. Betting on Over 1.5 Goals (61.70) seems reasonable given the statistical likelihood of at least one team finding the net.
Last Goal Timing
The likelihood of goals occurring late in the match is significant (Last Goal 73+ Minutes: 57.90; Goal In Last 15 Minutes: 58.50; Goal In Last 10 Minutes: 58.10). This pattern aligns with both teams’ tendencies to either push for goals late or concede under pressure as matches wind down.
Specific Bet Recommendations
- Away Team To Score In 2nd Half (70.50): Given Metz’s counter-attacking prowess and Auxerre’s potential fatigue in maintaining defensive discipline throughout the game, this bet holds merit.
- Over 2.5 Goals (56.90): With both teams having issues defensively but capable attacking players who can exploit mistakes, this bet is attractive based on statistical averages and historical trends.
- Home Team Not To Score In Second Half (57.20): If Auxerre manages an early goal or maintains control without conceding initially, they might rest defensively later in the game.
In conclusion, while no outcome is guaranteed, data-driven insights suggest focusing on bets related to late-game goals and overall scoring trends rather than outright results due to both teams’ current form and tactical setups.
