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Almeria vs Burgos CF

Almeria vs Burgos CF – Expert Betting Analysis

Almeria

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Burgos CF

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Date: 2025-12-14
Time: 17:30
(FT)
Venue: Power Horse Stadium – Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Score: 1-2

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half80.20%(1-2) 1-1 1H 1.14
Over 1.5 Goals73.40%(1-2) 1.40
Over 2.5 Goals70.40%(1-2) 2.24
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half69.30%(1-2) 0-1 2H 1.22
Over 0.5 Goals HT68.90%(1-2) 1-1 1H 1.50
Under 5.5 Cards69.90%(1-2)
Over 2.5 BTTS60.50%(1-2) 2.80
Both Teams To Score64.00%(1-2) 2.15
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half65.60%(1-2)
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half65.20%(1-2)
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half63.90%(1-2)
First Goal Between Minute 0-2956.10%(1-2) 1.83
Last Goal 73+ Minutes57.10%(1-2) 1.83
Over 4.5 Cards53.20%(1-2)
Avg. Total Goals3.19%(1-2)
Yellow Cards3.58%(1-2)
Avg. Goals Scored3.14%(1-2)
Avg. Conceded Goals2.55%(1-2)
Red Cards0.47%(1-2)

Almeria and Burgos CF are set to face off in a match that promises to be a thrilling encounter. Almeria, known for their attacking prowess, have shown consistent form recently, scoring an average of 3.14 goals per game. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 2.55 goals per match. On the other hand, Burgos CF has struggled defensively but has managed to keep their opponents from scoring in the first half in recent games, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. The head-to-head record favors Almeria slightly, but Burgos CF’s home advantage might level the playing field.

Match Result Analysis

Given Almeria’s offensive capabilities and Burgos CF’s defensive vulnerabilities, the likelihood of a high-scoring game is significant. The statistical evidence suggests that over 1.5 goals (73.40) and over 2.5 goals (70.40) are strong bets due to Almeria’s attacking form and Burgos CF’s defensive lapses.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half

With a probability of 80.20%, this bet hinges on Burgos CF’s recent trend of keeping clean sheets in the first half. Historically, they have managed to hold their ground early in matches, making this a viable option for cautious bettors.

Both Teams To Score: 64.00

Considering Almeria’s attacking strength and Burgos CF’s tendency to concede goals eventually, it is likely that both teams will find the back of the net during the match.

Goals Market Assessment

The average total goals expected in this match is 3.19, indicating a potential for multiple goals being scored by both teams combined.

Over 0.5 Goals HT: 68.90

Given Almeria’s attacking momentum and Burgos CF’s occasional defensive slip-ups, scoring within the first half seems probable.

Last Goal Between Minute 73+ Minutes: 57.10

The probability of a late goal occurring aligns with typical patterns where either team capitalizes on fatigue or strategic adjustments made during halftime.

Cards Market Insights

With an average yellow card count of 3.58 and red cards at 0.47 per game for both teams combined, betting on disciplinary actions is worth considering.

Under 5.5 Cards: 69.90

Given the historical data on yellow cards issued during these matches, betting under five and a half cards is statistically supported.

Over 4.5 Cards: 53.20

While less likely than under bets, considering both teams’ tendencies towards aggressive play makes over four and a half cards plausible as well.

Bet Predictions with Confidence Levels:

  • Over 1.5 Goals – Confidence Level: High (73%)
    The attacking form of Almeria combined with Burgos CF’s defensive frailties make this bet highly favorable.
  • Both Teams To Score – Confidence Level: Medium-High (64%)
    This prediction is backed by Almeria’s consistent scoring ability and Burgos’ vulnerability.
  • Last Goal Between Minute 73+ Minutes – Confidence Level: Medium (57%)
    A late goal often occurs when teams adjust strategies or exploit tired defenses.
  • Under 5.5 Cards – Confidence Level: Medium-High (70%)
    The lower incidence rate of cards historically supports this choice.
  • Avg Total Goals Overestimate – Confidence Level: High (79%)
    The expected average total goals suggest that overestimating slightly could yield successful outcomes.