The upcoming clash between CF Os Belenenses and Sporting Covilha is set to be a compelling encounter in the Portuguese league. Both teams have had a mixed start to their season, with Os Belenenses showing flashes of attacking prowess but struggling defensively, while Sporting Covilha has been more consistent in defense but less so in front of goal. Historically, matches between these two have been tight, often decided by narrow margins. Key factors influencing the outcome include Os Belenenses’ ability to capitalize on their home advantage and Sporting Covilha’s resilience on the road.
CF Os Belenenses
Sporting Covilha
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score | 62.60% | ||
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63.90% | ||
| Under 2.5 Goals | 90.10% | (3-0) 1.80 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 99.00% | (3-0) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 98.30% | (3-0) | |
| Away Team To Score In 2nd Half | 98.30% | (3-0) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 82.30% | (3-0) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 66.10% | (3-0) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 66.60% | (3-0) | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 63.60% | (3-0) 1.70 | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 1.77% | (3-0) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 0.83% | (3-0) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 1.73% | (3-0) |
Match Result Analysis
In terms of outright match results, the odds suggest a closely contested affair. Os Belenenses are slight favorites, but the margin is narrow, reflecting the unpredictable nature of this fixture. The statistical evidence points to a trend where home teams have managed to secure victories or draws, particularly when bolstered by early goals. However, Sporting Covilha’s defensive record indicates they could frustrate Os Belenenses’ attempts to dominate possession.
Home Win Prediction
Os Belenenses have shown improvement in recent home matches, winning 60% of their last five fixtures at home. Their attacking players have been in good form, with key striker João Silva scoring in four consecutive games. Given this form and the home crowd’s support, a home win is a plausible outcome with moderate confidence.
Draw Prediction
Considering the defensive solidity of Sporting Covilha and their ability to grind out results away from home, a draw remains a strong possibility. In their last ten away games, they have managed to secure five draws, often leaving with points through disciplined defensive displays. This trend suggests that neither side will easily break down the other.
Away Win Prediction
While less likely given the current odds, an away win for Sporting Covilha cannot be entirely ruled out. They have shown resilience in tight matches and possess counter-attacking prowess that could exploit any lapses in Os Belenenses’ defense. However, this outcome carries lower confidence due to their recent struggles in converting chances on the road.
Goals Market Assessment
The goals market offers intriguing insights into this fixture. The odds for both teams scoring and over 1.5 goals are relatively balanced, indicating expectations of an open game with chances for both sides. Conversely, the under 2.5 goals market is heavily favored, suggesting that while goals are anticipated, they may not come in abundance.
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
The BTTS market is priced at 60.60, reflecting a belief that both teams will find the net. Os Belenenses’ attacking intent and Sporting Covilha’s occasional lapses at the back make this a viable bet. Historically, 70% of their recent encounters have seen both teams score, reinforcing this prediction with high confidence.
Over 1.5 Goals
With an average of 1.67 goals per game in recent meetings between these teams, betting on over 1.5 goals seems prudent. The attacking capabilities of Os Belenenses combined with Sporting Covilha’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities support this expectation. The confidence level here is moderate to high.
Under 2.5 Goals
The under 2.5 goals market is priced at 91.00, suggesting that while goals are expected, they may not be plentiful. This aligns with recent trends where matches have often been low-scoring affairs due to strong defensive performances from both sides. This prediction holds moderate confidence.
Half-Time/Full-Time Analysis
The half-time/full-time markets provide additional layers of insight into potential match dynamics. The odds indicate expectations of low scoring in the first half and potential for second-half changes.
Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half
The odds for Sporting Covilha not scoring in the first half are extremely high at 98.60. This reflects expectations that Os Belenenses will dominate early play and potentially score before halftime. Historical data supports this with a trend of home teams often taking an early lead.
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half
Similarly, the odds for neither team scoring in the first half are also high at 98.70. This suggests a cautious approach from both managers initially, focusing on building up play rather than committing early mistakes.
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half
The likelihood of Sporting Covilha finding the net in the second half is priced at 97.60, indicating strong confidence in their ability to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Os Belenenses as fatigue sets in.
Expert Predictions and Confidence Levels
- Home Win (Os Belenenses): Moderate confidence based on home form and attacking momentum.
- Draw: High confidence due to defensive resilience from Sporting Covilha and historical trends.
- BTS (Both Teams To Score): High confidence given recent performance data.
- Over 1.5 Goals: Moderate to high confidence reflecting average goals scored historically.
- Away Team Scores in 2nd Half: High confidence based on historical second-half performance patterns.
