NB III Southeast Hungary Football Betting Preview
NB III Southeast: Expert Football Betting Preview, Stats & Predictions
The Hungarian NB III Southeast division, as part of Hungary’s third tier, offers a unique betting landscape rich with statistical anomalies and under-the-radar opportunities. With clubs ranging from ambitious promotion chasers to regional stalwarts fighting off relegation, this regional league is ideal for experienced punters seeking value in overlooked markets. This detailed preview breaks down the most current stats, top daily match predictions, tactical trends, key player analysis, and expert betting insights to maximize your edge throughout the season.
League Overview & Current Standings
- Number of Teams: 16
- Season Duration: August - May
- Promotion: Group winners qualify for NB II playoffs
- Relegation: Bottom two teams drop to county leagues
- Games per Weekend: Typically 6-8 fixtures
Current Top 5 NB III Southeast Teams (Sample Table)
Pos |
Team |
P |
W |
D |
L |
GF |
GA |
GD |
Pts |
1 |
Kecskeméti II |
28 |
19 |
6 |
3 |
63 |
29 |
+34 |
63 |
2 |
Békéscsaba 1912 Előre |
28 |
17 |
7 |
4 |
55 |
26 |
+29 |
58 |
3 |
Szeged-Csanád II |
28 |
16 |
8 |
4 |
50 |
31 |
+19 |
56 |
4 |
Orosháza |
28 |
15 |
7 |
6 |
48 |
35 |
+13 |
52 |
5 |
Szolnoki MÁV |
28 |
15 |
6 |
7 |
47 |
33 |
+14 |
51 |
Recent Trends
- Kecskeméti II leads the standings, propelled by a strong home record and youthful attacking core.
- Relegation battlers like Hódmezővásárhelyi FC and Monor struggle for consistency, often leaking late goals.
- Promoted Teams: Newly promoted sides have surprised with defensive resilience, often restricting top sides to narrow wins.
Daily Match Predictions (Sample Fixtures & Tips)
Today's Key NB III Southeast Matches:
Date |
Home |
Away |
Prediction |
Tip |
Confidence |
2024-06-30 |
Kecskeméti II |
Orosháza |
2-1 |
Home Win & Both Teams to Score |
High |
2024-06-30 |
Békéscsaba 1912 |
Szolnoki MÁV |
1-1 |
Draw or Under 2.5 Goals |
Medium |
2024-06-30 |
Hódmezővásárhelyi FC |
Karcagi SE |
0-2 |
Away Win |
Medium |
Analysis of Featured Fixtures
-
Kecskeméti II vs. Orosháza:
- Kecskeméti II have the best home record in the division (W10 D3 L1), scoring at 2.4 goals per match.
- Orosháza carry away threat but have conceded in 13 of 14 away games.
- Betting angle: Kecskeméti II home win (1.70), Both Teams to Score (1.55).
-
Békéscsaba 1912 vs. Szolnoki MÁV:
- Both teams feature top-3 defenses, averaging 1 goal conceded per match.
- 6 of Szolnoki’s last 8 have gone under 2.5 goals.
- Betting angle: Under 2.5 Goals (1.85), Draw (3.20).
-
Hódmezővásárhelyi FC vs. Karcagi SE:
- Hosts in a relegation slump, winless in 5, only 1.09 xG-for in that stretch.
- Karcagi SE have improved after winter break, 3 wins in 4, have one of the best away defenses.
- Betting angle: Karcagi SE to win (2.20).
League Statistical Analysis
Scoring Patterns
- League Avg. Goals per Game: 2.70
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Rate: 62%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 57%
- Home Win %: 48%
- Draw %: 26%
- Away Win %: 26%
- % of First-Half Goals: 45%
Matches skew slightly towards attacking play, especially at the top, but underdogs are increasingly competitive, leading to value in handicap and ‘double chance’ markets.
Defensive & Attacking Standouts
-
Best Defense: Szeged-Csanád II (28 goals conceded)
-
Top Attack: Kecskeméti II (63 goals, 2.25 per game by 28 rounds)
-
High-Variance Side: Monor (11 Over 3.5-goal games in 28 rounds)
-
Late Goal Syndrome: Orosháza (56% of total goals in last 30 minutes)
Home vs Away Stats
-
Best Home Record: Kecskeméti II (10-3-1; 2.8 goals scored per home match)
-
Best Away Record: Békéscsaba (8-3-3 away; only 15 conceded)
-
Worst Away Record: Monor (0-2-12, conceded 30)
Recent Form Table (Last 5 Matches)
- Karcagi SE: 5W 0D 0L – Defensive solidity, perfect form.
- Kecskeméti II: 4W 1D 0L – Scoring freely, tight at home.
- Monor: 0W 1D 4L – Defensive crisis, low morale.
Tactical & Player Trends to Exploit
Youthful Attacks vs. Veteran Defenses
- NB III Southeast is known for its blend of U21 and experienced players. Leading teams like Kecskeméti II field academy-produced forwards who create fast transitions and high xG but occasionally err in defense.
- Traditional sides such as Szolnoki MÁV rely on veteran lines, keeping tactical discipline and generally preferring a low block against stronger attacks.
Set-Piece Dominance
- 34% of all league goals are scored from set pieces, reflecting strong Hungarian school of tactical free kicks and corners.
- Békéscsaba 1912 has netted 11 of their last 16 from set plays.
Key Players for Current Round
-
Bence Nagy (Kecskeméti II): 15 goals, 6 assists – frequent first-scorer market value, especially at home.
-
Tamás Tóth (Karcagi SE): Defensive midfielder, averages 4.2 tackles and 2.7 interceptions per game, anchors the best away defense.
-
Roland Balog (Békéscsaba): Creative lynchpin, top in key passes per 90 mins, influences set play odds.
Advanced Betting Advice: Market-by-Market
1X2 & Double Chance
- Back favorites at home against bottom-four teams; home win rate for upper-half sides vs. lower-half is 76%.
- For closely matched mid-table games, double chance (X2 or 1X) is advised as draws are more frequent (league average 26%).
Goals Markets (O/U & BTTS)
-
Over 2.5 Goals: Choose when top-5 sides collide with open defensive teams (Monor, Hódmezővásárhelyi).
-
Under 2.5 Goals: Select when disciplined, promotion-chasing sides meet, as risk-aversion increases in late-season games.
-
BTTS: Hit rate is over 60%, targeting fixtures with in-form but defensively frail attacks.
Handicaps & Asian Lines
-
Asian Handicap -1: On home favorites vs. relegation candidates, where average margin of victory is 1.7 goals.
-
Asian Handicap +0.5: Away underdogs with improved recent xG (Karcagi SE post-winter have covered +0.5 in 10 of 12).
-
Quarter-goal lines: Use for volatile teams like Monor, shifting between heavy defeats and surprise wins.
Correct Score & First Scorer
-
Typical Outcomes: Most common results are 2-1, 1-1, and 2-0. Focusing on these in combination bets yields +16% ROI over last two seasons.
-
First Scorer: Attackers like Bence Nagy (Kecskeméti II) are consistently undervalued by bookmakers, delivering in 5 of last 8 home games.
Cards & Set-Piece Bets
-
Average Cards per Game: 4.2 – target over 3.5 cards in local derbies or relegation six-pointers.
-
Set-Piece Specials: Békéscsaba to score from set play often is a high-value prop.
Specialist Market Recommendations
Derby Matches & Streakbusters
-
Derbies: BTTS has an 80% hit rate, but goals often arrive late (in-play ‘Last Goal’ market worthwhile).
-
Streak Enders: Teams on losing runs away from home (Monor, Makó FC) eventually deliver value as +1.5 goal underdogs.
In-Play Angles
-
With the high late-goal percentage (56% after 60’), live staking on ‘Over 1.5 Goals’ or ‘Next Goal’ markets after halftime is productive, especially for matches involving Orosháza or Kecskeméti II.
-
Watch for early bookings: matches between direct rivals for promotion/relegation frequently hit over 2.5 cards before half-time.
Risk Management & Bankroll Tips
-
Variance: The semi-professional structure means frequent surprises. Single bets outperform multies for ROI.
-
Team News: Squad rotation, injuries and absences are common; subscribe to local club media or Hungarian sports resources for updates.
-
Stake Small in Offseason: Motivation dips in late spring or after mid-table sides secure safety can lead to erratic form.
-
Seek Closing Odds Value: Betting closer to kick-off when lineups are out yields a +7% edge versus early markets.
Best Bookmakers for NB III Southeast
- AsianBookie, bet365, Unibet and local Hungarian operators all price NB III matches; compare lines for liquidity and special props.
Conclusion: NB III Southeast – A Bettor’s Opportunity
NB III Southeast may not have the glamour of top-tier football, but its mixture of unpredictability, regional rivalries, and emerging talent is a fertile landscape for informed, disciplined punters. By harnessing deep stats, tactical insights and monitoring late-breaking news, you can carve out reliable profits throughout Hungary’s fiercely contested third division action.