3. Division Avd. 1 Predictions

Position	Team	Points	Goals Scored	Goals Conceded	Last 5 Matches
1	Tromsdalen	42	51	19	W-W-W-D-W
2	Harstad	39	46	26	L-W-W-W-D
3	Skjervøy	37	44	24	W-W-L-W-W
4	Lillestrøm 2	34	38	22	L-W-D-W-W
5	Fløya	33	32	20	W-L-W-D-W
6	Bodø/Glimt 2	31	30	27	D-L-W-W-D

Daily Match Predictions and Deep Analysis

Below are predictions and analysis for upcoming fixtures. Odds reflect average bookmaker lines and may shift significantly by kickoff.

Prediction: Tromsdalen win & over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.90 (win), 1.58 (over 2.5)
Insights: Both teams possess strong attacks, but Tromsdalen’s home form is exceptional (7W-2D-0L, 28:9 goals). Skjervøy are dangerous on the counter but have struggled against top-tier opposition this year. Tromsdalen average 2.9 goals per home game.
Key Players: Tromsdalen’s forward Håvard Lysvoll (13 goals in 16 matches) is in red-hot form, while Skjervøy’s Isoya partnership brings explosive pace but sometimes lacks consistency in decision-making.
Betting Angle: Over 2.5 goals is a staple for Tromsdalen matches, and the home win is strongly supported by xG (expected goals) trends and offensive efficiency.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score & Over 3.5 goals
Odds: 1.68 (BTTS), 2.05 (over 3.5)
Insights: Harstad have scored in 92% of matches but have the league’s most porous top-half defense (1.6 goals conceded per game). Fløya are organized but tend to drop deep, opening themselves up late when chasing the game. Last 5 h2h: BTTS in all, 3/5 over 4 goals.
Key Players: Harstad’s attacking trio rotates quick interchanges; Fløya’s young goalkeeper Emil Skaar needs to manage crosses better – a known weakness.
Betting Angle: Consider in-play over markets if the match starts slow, as Harstad’s home games often explode after halftime. Cautious bettors can split stakes between BTTS and total goals.

Prediction: Lillestrøm 2 win or draw X2; under 3.5 goals (conditional; check team sheets for senior player involvement)
Odds: 1.55 (X2 Double Chance), 1.72 (under 3.5)
Insights: Fixture is notorious for variation based on academy selections. When Lillestrøm reinforces with first-teamers, they control possession and show defensive discipline. Bodø/Glimt 2 have struggled away, especially against structured defenses. Under 3.5 hits in 7/8 previous meetings.
Key Players: Center-back Sæther (Lillestrøm 2) vs. Glimt’s tricky winger Kristoffersen may be the decisive duel.
Betting Angle: Seek confirmed lineups pre-match, as both teams are sensitive to late squad changes – an advantage in tracking social media or club news.

Prediction: Sprint-Jeløy win & over 2.5 goals
Odds: 1.92 (win), 1.61 (over 2.5)
Insights: Sprint-Jeløy’s strong tactical discipline at home clashes with Sortland’s vulnerable fullback lines. Sortland leaks goals against midtable opponents and often crumbles late under pressure. Home side’s injury list is easing, providing extra options on the bench.
Key Players: Jeløy’s creative midfielder Jørgen Berg returns from suspension, adding vision and set-piece threat.
Betting Angle: Combine home win with overs for increased value; consider in-play if Jeløy starts slowly as they frequently rally in the second half.

Team	BTTS %	Over 2.5 Goals %	Late Goals Rate	Avg. Cards/Game	Notes
Tromsdalen	68%	76%	44%	2.8	Strong closers, especially at home
Harstad	72%	79%	38%	3.2	Often high drama in 2nd half
Skjervøy	69%	73%	41%	2.9	Goals in fast bursts
Lillestrøm 2	58%	51%	33%	2.2	Defense improves with senior help
Fløya	63%	56%	37%	2.5	Tight first halves, opens late
Bodø/Glimt 2	61%	61%	39%	3.1	Extremely unpredictable