Scunthorpe Utd vs Carlisle United – 2025-10-04
General Expert Overview
Scunthorpe United, known for their solid defensive strategies, face Carlisle United in a fixture that promises to be a tactical battle. Scunthorpe’s recent form has been characterized by their ability to absorb pressure and counter-attack effectively, while Carlisle has shown resilience, often relying on quick transitions to exploit defensive gaps. The head-to-head record between these teams leans slightly in favor of Scunthorpe, with a history of tight contests. Key factors include Scunthorpe’s home advantage and Carlisle’s recent struggles with away form.
Scunthorpe Utd
Carlisle United
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Team To Score In 2nd Half | 98.40% | (0-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 91.10% | (0-1) | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83.30% | (0-1) 1.25 | |
| Last Goal 73+ Minutes | 69.70% | (0-1) | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 69.70% | (0-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 66.30% | (0-1) | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 68.40% | (0-1) | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 61.50% | (0-1) 0-1 1H 1.36 | |
| First Goal Between Minute 0-29 | 60.80% | (0-1) | |
| Over 4.5 Cards | 55.80% | (0-1) | |
| Goal In Last 15 Minutes | 56.30% | (0-1) | |
| Both Teams To Score | 52.80% | (0-1) 1.65 | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 3.25% | (0-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 3.63% | (0-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 2.21% | (0-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 2.44% | (0-1) | |
| Red Cards | 0.83% | (0-1) |
Statistically, Scunthorpe averages 3.01 goals per game with an average of 2.54 goals conceded, indicating a slightly porous defense but an efficient attack. Carlisle, on the other hand, has an average of 1.67 goals scored per game and concedes around 1.89 goals per game, highlighting their need for defensive solidity and more clinical finishing. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams likely to adopt cautious approaches initially.
Match Result Analysis
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half
The prediction of 98.10 for Scunthorpe to score in the second half reflects the expectation that they will capitalize on their home advantage and the likelihood of Carlisle’s fatigue setting in as the match progresses. Historically, Scunthorpe has shown increased offensive output in the latter stages of games when opponents’ defenses are more vulnerable.
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half
The odds of 89.80 for both teams not scoring in the first half suggest a cautious start from both sides. Given Carlisle’s defensive vulnerabilities and Scunthorpe’s strategic patience, it is likely that neither team will take significant risks early on, opting instead to settle into their respective tactical setups.
Goals Market Assessment
Over 1.5 Goals
The 80.40 odds for over 1.5 goals indicate a moderate expectation of goal-scoring opportunities materializing throughout the match. Both teams have demonstrated the capability to score, albeit inconsistently, and this fixture is anticipated to break open as both sides push for dominance.
Last Goal 73+ Minutes
With odds of 70.20, the prediction for a goal after the 73rd minute aligns with Scunthorpe’s historical pattern of late-game scoring surges. This period often sees increased activity as teams become more desperate for results, particularly with home teams leveraging their familiarity with the pitch and crowd support.
Cards Market Analysis
Under 5.5 Cards
The odds of 69.30 for under 5.5 cards reflect expectations of disciplined play from both sides, despite the competitive nature of the match. Scunthorpe’s tactical discipline and Carlisle’s need to maintain defensive integrity suggest fewer bookings than might be expected in such high-stakes encounters.
Over 4.5 Cards
At odds of 58.70, betting on over 4.5 cards would be speculative given the average yellow card count of 3.43 and red card count of 1.33 per game for these teams combined. This suggests that while tempers may flare, outright indiscipline is unlikely.
Specific Predictions and Insights
Based on statistical analysis and recent performances, it is predicted that Scunthorpe will secure a narrow victory, potentially through a late goal that capitalizes on Carlisle’s defensive lapses in the final third of the match. Confidence in this prediction is high due to Scunthorpe’s historical performance trends and home advantage.
Furthermore, given Carlisle’s tendency to concede goals late in matches and Scunthorpe’s propensity to score from set-pieces or counter-attacks, there is a strong case for backing ‘Home Team To Score In 2nd Half’ as well as ‘Last Goal 73+ Minutes.’ These predictions are supported by data-driven insights into both teams’ playing styles and recent form.
