SK Super Nova Battles Tukums 2000/TSS – Stats & Predictions

Expert Overview and Match Context

The upcoming match between SK Super Nova and Tukums 2000/TSS on May 16, 2025, presents a compelling dynamic based on the provided predictive data. With an average total goals figure of 2.95 and high probabilities associated with over 1.5 goals (92%) and over 0.5 goals at halftime (92%), the expectation is for an open contest with offensive intent from the outset. The metrics also reveal contrasting scoring trends between the two sides, further influencing the likely flow and outcome of the match.

Goals Market Analysis

• Over/Under Goals: The over 1.5 goals market receives a striking 92% rating, closely tied to the match’s average anticipated goals (2.95). Even the over 2.5 goals market has a robust 55% confidence. This supports an outlook favoring multiple goals, particularly as the home team shows a high chance (80%) to score in the opening half.
• Halftime Markets: There’s an 92% predicted chance for at least one goal before halftime, with the home team specifically tipped to score before the interval (80%). The first goal is likely to be scored before the 30th minute (72%), reinforcing the idea of early action.
• Sum of Goals: The prediction that the total goals will be 2 or 3 (63%) coincides well with the average expected tally and lends support to correct-score bets clustered in the 1-1, 2-0, or 2-1 range.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) & Team-Specific Scoring

• BTTS in Full Match: The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at a moderate 57%. However, overwhelming probabilities are attached to “Both Teams Not to Score in 2nd Half” (90%) and “Both Teams Not to Score in 1st Half” (72%), suggesting that any BTTS action is more probable in a single half, with a significant bias toward one team dominating each half’s scoring.
• Away Team Goal Dynamics: The away side (Tukums 2000/TSS) is highly unlikely to score in the second half (99%), and with a strong 67% chance of not finding the net in the first half, their overall attacking threat across the full 90 minutes appears very limited. This scenario opens up value on “Away Team Under 0.5 Goals.”
• Home Team Specifics: While SK Super Nova is well-favored to score in the first half (80%), their probability of not scoring in the second half is also notable at 60%. This dichotomy elevates the potential of first-half action tailing off into a more defensive, low-scoring second period.

Match Result Predictions & Discipline

• Outright Result: The probability of a home win (52%) puts SK Super Nova in the preferred position, especially with Tukums 2000/TSS’s limited offensive outlook.
• Red Card Market: The expected red cards per match (0.17) indicate little disciplinary disruption is likely, so player suspensions or numerical imbalances should not be a major factor.

Expert Match Prediction & High-Value Bets

Based on the analysis of the data, expect SK Super Nova to seize initiative early and potentially secure a lead before halftime. Tukums 2000/TSS appear unlikely to break through, especially after the interval, so look for long stretches of home-side dominance with a possible drop in tempo and goal frequency in the second half.

• Best-Value Bet: Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (99%)
• Additional High-Probability Bets:
  • Over 1.5 Goals (92%)
  • Over 0.5 Goals 1st Half (92%)
  • Home Team To Score In 1st Half (80%)
  • First Goal between 0-29 minutes (72%)
• Correct Score Range: Home win by 2-0 or 2-1 appears most consistent with the data.