Swansea City vs Derby County

Swansea City vs Derby County

This match features two teams with contrasting recent performances. Swansea City has shown resilience in their recent outings, securing crucial points that have bolstered their standing. Their defensive solidity is a key factor, as evidenced by a low average of conceded goals at 2.06. Conversely, Derby County has struggled to find consistency, with their attacking efforts often falling short of expectations. The head-to-head record between these teams shows a competitive edge, but Swansea’s home advantage could tip the scales in their favor.

Key factors influencing this game include Swansea’s home form and Derby’s away struggles. The tactical approach of both managers will also play a significant role, particularly in how they adapt to each other’s strategies during the match.

Match Result Analysis

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half

The probability for this outcome stands at 79.70%, suggesting a cautious start from both sides. Swansea’s defensive discipline and Derby’s away form are likely contributors to this expectation. Historically, both teams have shown restraint early in games, focusing on building momentum rather than rushing into scoring opportunities.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half

With an 77.30% likelihood, Swansea is expected to break the deadlock in the second half. This prediction aligns with their pattern of absorbing pressure initially before capitalizing on counter-attacks or set pieces later in the game. The confidence level here is high due to Swansea’s ability to exploit spaces left by opponents who press aggressively.

Both Teams To Score

This bet type holds a 73.10% probability, indicating that while there might be periods of defensive focus, both teams possess enough attacking prowess to find the net at least once. Swansea’s average goals scored per game is 2.08, and Derby’s attempts to breach defenses suggest they will also contribute to this outcome.

Goals Market Assessment

Over 1.5 Goals

The likelihood of more than one goal being scored is set at 70.30%. This reflects the attacking potential of both teams despite their defensive records. Given the average total goals for this fixture stands at 3.73, it’s reasonable to expect multiple goals.

Over 0.5 Goals HT

This market has a probability of 69.40%, suggesting that even if the first half remains tight defensively, some form of goal action is anticipated before halftime.

Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half

The odds stand at 72.20% for Derby not scoring early on, which aligns with their tendency to struggle against well-organized home defenses like Swansea’s.

Cards Market Analysis

Under 5.5 Cards

The chance of fewer than six cards being shown during the match is pegged at 69.70%. This reflects expectations of disciplined play from both sides, despite occasional flare-ups that could lead to bookings.

Away Team To Score In 2nd Half

Derby’s chances improve slightly in the second half with a probability of 68.40%, potentially benefiting from adjustments made during halftime and exploiting any lapses in Swansea’s defense as fatigue sets in.

Expert Predictions:

• Swansea City Wins (Confidence: High): Given their superior home record and current form compared to Derby County’s inconsistent away performances, expect Swansea to secure a narrow victory.
• Total Goals Over 2 (Confidence: Medium-High): With an average total goals figure of 3.73 for past encounters between these sides and both having decent attacking capabilities, betting on over two goals seems prudent.
• Average Cards Close To Average (Confidence: Medium): Based on historical data showing yellow cards around an average count (Yellow Cards: 3.96), expect discipline issues but nothing excessive unless tensions rise unexpectedly during play.