Swansea City vs Portsmouth – Expert Analysis
This match features Swansea City against Portsmouth, with significant implications for both teams’ standings. Swansea City has been showing consistent form, with a strong defensive record that has seen them concede an average of 2.03 goals per game. On the other hand, Portsmouth’s recent performances have been less impressive, with an average of 0.97 goals scored per match. Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, but Swansea’s home advantage and current form suggest they might have the upper hand in this encounter. Key factors include Swansea’s ability to control the midfield and Portsmouth’s need to capitalize on set-pieces.
Match Result Analysis
The prediction markets indicate a high probability of over 0.5 goals in the first half at 89.80%, suggesting an early attacking approach from both sides. This is supported by Swansea’s tendency to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities early in games. The likelihood of both teams not scoring in the second half stands at 77.80%, indicating a potential shift towards more defensive play as the game progresses.
Over 0.5 Goals HT
Given Swansea’s attacking prowess and Portsmouth’s vulnerability at the back, betting on over 0.5 goals in the first half seems prudent. The statistical evidence supports this with a high confidence level, as Swansea often scores within the first 30 minutes.
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half
The market suggests a strong possibility (77.80%) that neither team will score in the second half. This aligns with trends where games often slow down after an eventful first half, especially if one team secures an early lead.
Goals Market Assessment
The overall goal market shows a balanced view with over 1.5 goals at 76.70% and over 2.5 goals at 53.70%. These figures reflect the dynamic nature of this fixture, where both teams have shown they can score but also concede.
Over 1.5 Goals
With an average total of 3.80 goals expected in this match, betting on over 1.5 goals is backed by statistical data and historical performance trends of both teams.
Over 2.5 Goals
The lower probability for over 2.5 goals (53.70%) suggests caution, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities and past encounters often exceeding two goals, it remains a viable bet for those seeking higher returns.
Cards Market Analysis
The cards market indicates a relatively low likelihood of excessive bookings or dismissals, with under 4.5 cards at a probability of 69.40%. This reflects recent disciplinary trends where games involving these teams have seen fewer cautions than expected.
Under 4.5 Cards
Betting on under 4.5 cards is supported by recent matches where discipline has been maintained better than anticipated by bookmakers.
Avg Total Cards: Yellow Cards: Red Cards
The average total cards figure stands at around four per game (yellow cards: 2.44; red cards: 0.82), suggesting that while there might be some bookings, outright dismissals are less frequent.
Swansea City
Portsmouth
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 87.80% | (1-0) 0-0 1H 1.40 | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 80.50% | (1-0) 1-0 2H 1.30 | |
| Home Team To Score In 2nd Half | 67.70% | (1-0) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 80.00% | (1-0) 0-0 1H 1.18 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77.30% | (1-0) 1.33 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 77.00% | (1-0) | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 70.90% | (1-0) 5 cards 1.29 | |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 68.40% | (1-0) 5 cards 1.57 | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 57.50% | (1-0) | |
| Both Teams To Score | 58.80% | (1-0) 1.85 | |
| Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 63.30% | (1-0) | |
| First Goal Between Minute 0-29 | 52.80% | (1-0) 1.83 | |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54.70% | 2.10 | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 3.00% | (1-0) | |
| Yellow Cards | 2.84% | (1-0) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 2.53% | (1-0) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 1.97% | (1-0) | |
| Red Cards | 0.32% | (1-0) |
Expert Predictions
In conclusion to our analysis:
- First Goal Between Minute 0-29: With a high probability (51.60%), betting on an early goal seems promising due to Swansea’s aggressive start strategies and Portsmouth’s historical vulnerabilities early in games.
- Avg Conceded Goals: Given that Portsmouth concedes around two goals per game on average, betting on over one goal for them seems justified based on their defensive struggles against top-tier opponents like Swansea.
- Avg Goals Scored: While Portsmouth averages just below one goal per game (0.97), their reliance on counter-attacks could yield opportunities against a potentially complacent Swansea defense if they manage to disrupt their rhythm effectively.
