Home » Football » Uniao Leiria Battles Tondela – Stats & Predictions

Uniao Leiria Battles Tondela – Stats & Predictions

General Expert Overview

The fixture between Uniao Leiria and Tondela is projected to be a close, tactical affair with a moderate goal expectation. Recent statistical indicators point toward a relatively low-scoring encounter, with an average total goals value of 2.53 per match and each side conceding just a bit over a goal per game. Disciplinary records remain well-managed (red cards per game: 0.03), suggesting tactical discipline and a likely focus on simple, structured play in a tense end-of-season setting.

Uniao Leiria

LWWWL
-

Tondela

WLWDL
Date: 2025-05-16
Time: 19:30
(FT)
Venue: Municipal da Marinha Grande
Score: 0-2

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half81.00%(0-2) 0-2 2H 1.33
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half78.00%(0-2) 0-0 1H 1.20
Over 0.5 Goals HT75.00%(0-2) 0-0 1H 1.33
Over 1.5 Goals72.00%(0-2) 1.25
Away Team To Score In 1st Half69.00%(0-2)
Under 2.5 Goals59.00%(0-2) 2.00
Both Teams To Score59.00%(0-2) 1.80
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half56.00%(0-2)
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half56.00%(0-2)
Avg. Total Goals2.53%(0-2)
Avg. Goals Scored1.47%(0-2)
Avg. Conceded Goals1.06%(0-2)
Red Cards0.03%(0-2)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Analysis

The likelihood for both teams to score in this match sits at 59%, illustrating a balanced scenario where both sides have the offensive capability to find the net. However, there is a notable split between performance in each half; with an 81% probability that both teams do not score in the 2nd half and 78% in the 1st half, the data indicates that if goals do come from both sides, it is likely to be isolated to one half rather than spread across both. This points toward either a cagey opening or a conservative finish, likely dictated by the game state as it unfolds.

Total Goals and Over/Under Markets

The average total goals (2.53) aligns with the prediction for over 1.5 goals (72%) and under 2.5 goals (59%). This supports a forecast of a match with one to two goals, making a 1-1 or 2-0 scoreline plausible. Notably, there is a strong expectation (75%) for at least one goal before half-time, and only the smallest minority of matches end scoreless at the interval or final whistle based on seasonal data for both clubs.

Team-Specific Scoring Patterns

Tondela (Away) demonstrates a higher likelihood to score in both halves, with a 69% chance of netting in the first half and 56% in the second. Uniao Leiria, meanwhile, is statistically less likely to score in the opening half, with a 56% chance they fail to do so. These splits suggest Tondela may enter the break with a lead or at least having contributed most of the attacking threat early.

Disciplinary Factors

The red card average, at just 0.03 per match, minimizes the risk of the contest being heavily influenced by suspension or reduced numbers. Both sides are likely to finish the match at full strength, keeping tactical integrity and the pre-match statistical outlook intact.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Correct Score Range: 1-1 or 0-1, with a slight edge toward Tondela either drawing or winning by a narrow margin.
  • First Half Result: Tondela to lead or hold the advantage in scored goals at halftime, given their higher likelihood to strike in the opening period.
  • Goal Timing: Expect a lively first half for goalscoring with a subsequent drop-off, in line with the probabilities for both teams failing to score in both halves.
  • Recommended Bets: Over 0.5 first half goals, under 2.5 total goals, and Tondela to score in the first half provide value based on the data trends.